Ontario Election, Doug Ford ahead of Bonnie Crombie by 17-points

TORONTO – Doug Ford’s Progressive Conservative Party continues to keep the Liberals at a double-digit distance just over a week before the Ontario elections (voting on February 27): this is what emerges from the latest poll conducted by Nanos Research for CTV, published today. 

The survey, conducted among 929 Ontario adults on February 15, 16 and 18, found that 45.8 per cent of decided voters support the Conservatives while 29.7 per cent support the Liberals. About 15.9% of respondents said they would vote for the NDP while 6.7% expressed support for the Green Party.

Taking into consideration both decided and undecided voters, the percentages change: 41.4% would support the Conservatives, 26.8% the Liberals, 14.3% the NDP, 6.1% the Greens, 1.9% answered “other” while as many as 9.7% declared they were “undecided”.

Moving on to approval for the leaders in contention, the conservative (and outgoing premier) Doug Ford has a 17-point lead over the liberal Bonnie Crombie: according to the survey, in fact, 41.2% of those interviewed said that Ford is their first choice as prime minister, compared to 24.4% who instead prefer Crombie. About 13.9% said NDP Leader, Marit Stiles, is the best option to lead the Province while 7.5% pointed to Green Party Leader, Mike Schreiner.

Analyzing the territorial division, while the advantage of the Progressive Conservatives is clear in all regions of the Province, Toronto continues to see a tight race: around 36.9% of Toronto respondents said they would support Ford’s Conservatives, while around 34.8% of Torontonians said they would vote for Crombie’s Liberals. About 21.6% said they would support the NDP while 4.6% said they would vote for the Green Party. Conservatives ahead, however, throughout the Toronto metropolitan area. Looking at all areas of the region, the survey suggests that 54.9% of GTA voters would vote for the Conservatives, compared to 26.3% for the Liberals, 11.7% for the NDP and 6.4% for the Green Party.

To download and/or consult the complete survey, click here

Photo: Elections Ontario