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Clash in the provinces, still statistical parity between O’Toole and Trudeau

by Francesco Veronesi

TORONTO – Five days before the vote, conservatives and liberals are in substantial statistical parity. The latest polls confirm that the distance between the two parties is below the 2 percent threshold, which represents the margin of error and therefore certifies how the balance of power, expressed in the voting intentions of the Canadian electorate, has crystallized into a generalized parity. To try to understand what are the dynamics that are characterizing this new balance between the political forces in the race, it is necessary to analyze the situation on a regional basis.  (more…)

Effetto dei dibattiti: i liberali recuperano il terreno perduto

by Francesco Veronesi

TORONTO – Con i dibattiti televisivi Erin O’Toole ha avuto la possibilità di chiudere la partita, ma evidentemente non è stato in grado di sfruttare l’occasione. È questa la chiave di lettura che deriva dall’analisi di tutti i sondaggi realizzati in Canada nel mese di settembre, che mettono in luce come nella prima settimana di questo mese i conservatori avevano consolidato un buon margine di vantaggio sui liberali, ma come, allo stesso tempo, dopo il doppio confronto tra i leader dei partiti questo vantaggio sia stato dissipato. In questo momento, dopo una fase di sostanziale parità statistica tra il Partito Conservatore e il Partito Liberale, è Justin Trudeau ad essere tornato a recitare il ruolo di front runner in vista del voto del 20 settembre… Read More in Corriere Canadese >>> 

Effect of debates: liberals catch up the lost ground

by Francesco Veronesi

TORONTO – With the televised debates Erin O’Toole had the chance to close the game, but evidently was not able to take advantage of the opportunity. This is the key to reading that derives from the analysis of all the polls carried out in Canada in September, which highlight how in the first week of this month the Conservatives had consolidated a good margin of advantage over the Liberals, but how, at the same time, after the double confrontation between the leaders of the parties this advantage has been dissipated. At this moment, after a phase of substantial statistical parity between the Conservative Party and the Liberal Party, it is Justin Trudeau who has returned to play the role of front runner in view of the vote on September 20.  (more…)

Etobicoke Centre: A competitive race with Liberals in the lead

by Priscilla Pajdo

 

Sandwiched between Toronto and Mississauga is the electoral district of Etobicoke Centre. The riding was created in 1976 and encompasses part of the City of Toronto, including the communities of Humber Valley Village, Markland Wood, Princess Gardens and Thorncrest Village.

According to the 2016 Census, Etobicoke Centre is home to 118,025 residents. It is a diverse community comprised of several different cultural and ethnic backgrounds. At 15% of the population, Italians represent one of the largest ethnic groups outside of the downtown core. (more…)

NDP and PPC curb O’Toole’s ambitions

by Francesco Veronesi

TORONTO – The difficulties of Jagmeet Singh and the rise of Maxime Bernier are holding back Erin O’Toole. And, as a result of the inertia that has been created, Justin Trudeau is smiling, relaunching his ambitions for the conquest of the third term after those resulting from the vote of 2015 and 2019. To provide us with the change in the balance of power in this race for the federal vote is the snapshot taken by the latest polls that highlight how between the Liberal Party and the Conservative Party there continues to be a tight head-to-head on which, however, weighs enormously what is happening on the right and left in the Canadian party arc.  (more…)

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